5fish
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Here is a video and article about and by Allan Lichtman about who going to win the White House in 2020. He has been right every election since 1980 and he does not use polls to predict the winner. He uses 13 keys or questions. How many keys does it take to win the White House...
Here is the link to the article a short video explaining who is going to win the White House in November...
LINK: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/opinion/2020-election-prediction-allan-lichtman.html
Snip...
In the video Op-Ed above, Professor Lichtman walks us through his system, which identifies 13 “keys” to winning the White House. Each key is a binary statement: true or false. And if six or more keys are false, the party in the White House is on its way out.
Snip...
In 1980, he developed a presidential prediction model that retrospectively accounted for 120 years of U.S. election history. Over the past four decades, his system has accurately called presidential victors, from Ronald Reagan in ’84 to, well, Mr. Trump in 2016.
Here is a wiki link about the "13 Keys" to the White House...
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House
Here is a review of his prediction that Trump will win the White House back in 2016...
LINK: https://pollyvote.com/en/components/models/mixed/keys-to-the-white-house/
Snip...
When five or fewer keys are false, the incumbent party wins; when any six or more are false, the challenging party wins.
A video predicting the winner...
Here is the link to the article a short video explaining who is going to win the White House in November...
LINK: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/opinion/2020-election-prediction-allan-lichtman.html
Snip...
In the video Op-Ed above, Professor Lichtman walks us through his system, which identifies 13 “keys” to winning the White House. Each key is a binary statement: true or false. And if six or more keys are false, the party in the White House is on its way out.
Snip...
In 1980, he developed a presidential prediction model that retrospectively accounted for 120 years of U.S. election history. Over the past four decades, his system has accurately called presidential victors, from Ronald Reagan in ’84 to, well, Mr. Trump in 2016.
Here is a wiki link about the "13 Keys" to the White House...
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House
Here is a review of his prediction that Trump will win the White House back in 2016...
LINK: https://pollyvote.com/en/components/models/mixed/keys-to-the-white-house/
Snip...
When five or fewer keys are false, the incumbent party wins; when any six or more are false, the challenging party wins.
A video predicting the winner...