BLOOMBERG AND THE END OF ALL THINGS

jgoodguy

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http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2020/02/bloomberg-and-the-end-of-all-things

With 60% of the votes counted in Nevada, Sanders has matched his 2016 showing with about 47% of the Democratic County Convention Delegates; not-Sanders still wins the state, but barely. Sanders did better in virtually every category than he has done in previous states; particularly well with young voters (which we know) and Hispanics. It is the Hispanic outreach that has been steady and methodical for which the Sanders campaign truly deserves a tremendous amount of credit. Democrats have struggled mightily in national races to energize this growing share of the American electorate and Sanders, at least in Nevada, shows that he can not only appeal to this group but also turn them out to vote.​

In 2016 Bernie did well at caucuses but not primaries.

Again, I’ll point out that caucus states are not primary states and the simple fact is that caucus goers are distinct from primary voters. Primary voters better resemble the electorate in that they have a lower bar to entry regarding participation and are lower-information voters than caucus goers. The Sanders turnout machine did astonishingly, even embarrassingly, well in caucus states post-Nevada in 2016 and the 2020 race is unlikely to be an exception. Primaries, then, are where he finds himself engaged in a differently pitched battle where an ideologically consistent message may turnout a solid base sufficient to overwhelm a caucus, but insufficient to break a majority barrier in a large state.

Sanders’s supporters might, rightly, take some issue with the road I’m heading down – that, in fact, the expansion of the caucus base in Nevada is a harbinger of an expanded primary base in other states. There is certainly evidence to support some of this claim; particularly the claim that Tío Bernie has tremendous support among Hispanics in California and Texas. At least, much greater support than 2016. Indeed, Sanders also did far better than 2016 with voters of color in Iowa and New Hampshire. I visited three precincts as they were cocking-up – I mean, caucusing – in Iowa. By far the most diverse crowds, at least in terms of embodied diversity, were Sanders caucus-goers. So, it could be that there is an actual connection between caucus victories and primary victories that tell a different story than the 2016 primary of Sanders versus HRC, as Loomis argues. South Carolina will tell us more on this front, but Sanders co-chair State Senator Nina Turner (OH) is a political force of nature. I saw Buttigieg, Biden, Klobuchar, Sanders, Warren, and Yang speak in Iowa – Turner’s introduction of Sanders was the most dynamic of the bunch.​
 

Kirk's Raider's

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We really won't know how the Democratic Party Nomination race goes until after Super Tuesday. Post Super Tuesday over thirty percent of the delegates will be rewarded. Of the seven or so remaining canidates the majority are going to have to drop out if they don't win a certain amount of delegates. There are 1,900 delegates to win so if a canidates is below say three hundred delgates after Super Tuesday then there is no viable path to win the nomination.
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5fish

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It comes down to money after Super Tuesday. The money should start drying up for the also-rans. Bloomberg shows again that mega wealth is a threat to democracy...
 
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